Summary

In solutions where the concentration of the base of the conjugate pair is higher than that of the acid

[H3O+] must be lower than Ka for the system to be at equilibrium.
 
Ka = [H3O+] × [conjugate base]
[acid]

Thus pH is higher than pKa.

Provided the concentration of the base is no more than ten times the concentration of the conjugate base, the pH will be within 1 unit of pKa.
 
Ka = [H3O+] ×10
1
Ka = [H3O+] × 10 

Taking the negative logarithm of all terms
pKa = pH – 1 
pH = pKa +1

This is shown in the graph of pH change on addition of NaOH to CH3CO2H (pKa 4.76).  At 22.5
the ratio [conjugate base] to [acid] is 10.  The pH is 5.76.
 
titration curve ethanoic acid with sodium hydroxide
CH3CO2
CH3CO2H/ CH3CO2
CH3CO2H

Buffers where the ratio [conjugate base] to [acid] is between 1 and 10 have pH between pKa and pKa +1.